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Showing posts with label intervention. Show all posts
Showing posts with label intervention. Show all posts

Monday, October 31, 2011

Idiots in Japanese Government - Intervenes in Yen Again!!!

What did I tell you?


The Japanese government has thrown away another several hundred billion dollars down the toilet by intervening in the Yen's rise. 


From Bloomberg:


Yen Drops Versus Euro, Dollar as Japan Intervenes for the Third Time This Year

The yen dropped by the most in three years against the dollar as Japan stepped into foreign-exchange markets to weaken the currency for the third time this year after its gains to a postwar record threatened exporters.
“I’ve repeatedly said that we’ll take bold action against speculative moves in the market,” Japanese Finance Minister Jun Azumi told reporters today after the government acted unilaterally. “I’ll continue to intervene until I am satisfied.”
The yen weakened against the more than 150 currencies that Bloomberg tracks as Azumi said he ordered the intervention at 10:25 a.m. local time because “speculative moves” in the currency failed to reflect Japan’s economic fundamentals. Today’s drop reversed this month’s previous gain by the yen against the greenback amid speculation the Federal Reserve may add to stimulus measures as the U.S. recovery stagnates.
The Japanese currency sank 4.3 percent as of 6:44 a.m. in London to 79.24 per dollar, after remaining at 79.20 for almost three hours. The yen headed for its biggest closing drop since October 2008. It fell to as low as 79.53 per dollar, the weakest since Aug. 4.

Seriously, these people are nuts. These fools keep doing this but it never works. They throw away billions, the yen falls for a short while, then it starts to rise again. Please refer to: Insanity: Japanese Government of August 9, 2011:


I write over and over until my fingers are bleeding that the government is run by idiots. For over twenty years, the clowns "at the helm" of the Japanese government have been creating debt and trying to manipulate the markets. We have the current situation to show for it: Massive public debt and an economy mired in the mud.
Last year's currency intervention was to stop the yen when it was at about ¥82 to the US dollar. The Japanese Central Bank threw $63 billion dollars at the problem then. 
FIVE DAYS ago, the yen and dollar rate was ¥76.9 yen to one US dollar. The Japanese government threw $56 billion dollars at that. They were patting themselves on the back because the yen quickly shot past ¥80 to the US dollar. That was on August 4, 2011.
This is the third currency intervention by Japan this year. How many times do these idiots have to keep repeating the same mistake until they learn that these sorts of interventions never work?
Let me predict that we will see ¥75 to the US Dollar again before Feb. 2012... Soon followed by another massive currency intervention.
The last intervention was $60 billion dollars down the trash can. This newest one, with the biggest rise in the yen since 1978, must be well more than that! Japanese government debt is now 225% of GDP. Is it any wonder with the government so stupidly throwing money down the toilet over and over?


Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Heading for ¥75 to $1 US Dollar

Everyday, first thing I do when I wake up is to turn on my computer and check the stock market and the yen vs. dollar rate. 


For this last week or so, the yen has been hovering around ¥76.8 yen to $1 US dollar. Every time the yen has gotten strong, until now, the Japanese government has thrown massive amounts of money away in vain attempts at intervening to stop the yen's rise. And every time they've done this they have failed, yet they keep doing it over and over.


 I wrote in "Japanese Government: These People Are Just Plain Nuts":



They intervened in the yen at ¥76.9, spending some $50 billion dollars. The yen rose to over ¥80 to the US dollar. Now, today, exactly one week later, we're right back where we started. The yen today, as of 4:11 am August 11, 2011 Japan time, is at ¥76.81... 

Now they are considering doing this again!? What is wrong with these stupid people?

Since, at that time, the Japan Central Bank (JCB) claimed it was "watching the market and would act accordingly" I have been expecting to see the yen jump back to ¥80 to $1 US Dollar over this past week or so.

It hasn't happened.

Now, Bloomberg says that some clown nick named, "Mr. Yen" (a former finance minister says the yen could hit ¥75 to $1 US Dollar soon.

Japan’s currency may strengthen to a postwar high against the dollar because of the weakness of the U.S. economy, said former Finance Ministry official Eisuke Sakakibara, who’s known as “Mr. Yen.”
“The yen may appreciate further, beyond 75,” Sakakibara said in an interview from Tokyo on Bloomberg Television today. “I would expect the U.S. economy to be fairly weak for a long period of time.”
The yen declined today after Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda warned that he’s ready to intervene again to stem gains that pose a risk to exports. On Aug. 4, the government sold the currency to stem gains that threaten exporters’ profits. The yen has since returned to its pre-intervention level and is approaching its all-time high of 76.25, underscoring the difficulty authorities are having in halting its advance.
“Intervention, in order to be effective, needs to be persistent and continuous and needs to have the understanding” of other authorities, said Sakakibara, who earned the nickname because of his efforts when an official to influence the yen rate through verbal and actual intervention in currency markets. “Multilateral intervention does work but I don’t think at the moment the U.S. is willing to intervene. It will be very difficult to have a coordinated intervention.”

He says, “Intervention, in order to be effective, needs to be persistent and continuous and needs to have the understanding” of other authorities...!? Now do you understand why I call this guy a clown? When has intervention ever been effective for more than a few weeks?


OK, mister high and mighty "Mr. Yen" let's look at what your yen interventions have done since 1996 to today. They say a picture speaks a thousand words, so I'll just show a graph:
CLICK ON IMAGE FOR LARGER VIEW

In 1996, the average yen to dollar rate was about 106 yen to $1 USD.
Today it is ¥76.82 per $1 USD - about a 30% increase in the yen. I suppose this says volumes about how effective these interventions to weaken the yen have been.

I'm sure we will hit ¥75 to $1 US Dollar... The question is how many more interventions and wasted tax monies do the Japanese public have to suffer  before that happens?